Highly Likely Failure in Peace Pact Between Israel and Egypt

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23 November 2011

President Jimmy Carter with then-Egyptian
President Anwar al-Sadat and
then-Israeli Prime Minister Menachem Begin
for the signing of the 1979 Peace Pact


JERUSALEM – Israel is preparing of for the possibility of the peace pact with Egypt failing altogether.  Matan Vilnai, the minister for civil defense and a retired military general, stated that the Israeli government was concerned with Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood ability to make gains and win elections.  The Muslim Brotherhood will be the majority in Egyptian institutions.  The politics in Egypt are rocky at best and the military is likely to dominate the upcoming government.  The Brotherhood does not want to end the 1979 peace pact with Israel, they just want amendments made.  The peace pact will likely not fall apart immediately but likely will as soon as the regime stabilizes.  The recent protests in Egypt have increased Israel’s concerns.  The peace pact is the cornerstone of security in Israel.  It keeps peace along a once volatile border and has helped deal with Palestinian militants in the West Bank and Gaza Strip, and Hezbollah guerrillas across Israel’s northern border in Lebanon.  Israel has been pleased with Egypt’s military since President Hosni Mubarak was unseated in February.  The Muslim Brotherhood has similar ideologies as Hamas in Gaza, which poses a big threat to Israel.  Israel is preparing for a number of scenarios that could arise should unrest between the two countries rise in the near future. 

Reliability:  9

Source:  Israel Expects ‘Grave Erosion’ in Peace Pact with Egypt

http://www.foxnews.com/world/2011/11/23/israel-expects-grave-erosion-in-peace-pact-with-egypt/

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